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The Good News Magazine

March/April 2003 Issue

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Are We Witnessing the Last Days of the Present World Order?

In a Feb. 12 article titled "3 Western Pillars Already Shaken," The International Herald Tribunestated:"Before a shot has been fired,the political tensions ahead of a looming Iraq war are inflicting grievous wounds on the triad of institutions that embody aspirations for multilateral security cooperation among Western democracies: the European Union, NATO and the UN Security Council.

"This combination of interlocking security arrangements, which has enabled the West to ride out trans-Atlantic tempests for decades, faces a simultaneous challenge from within that could spell change or even irrelevance for all parts of the system."

German-American relations were already strained due to anti-American rhetoric on the part of Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder in his reelection campaign last year. And then, when it came to actually enforcing UN Security Council resolutions regarding Iraq,U.S. insistence on military action was met by hard resistance from Germany as well as France-a stance that was then countered by support from the majority of European national leaders.

The Tribuneexplained:"The crisis is so hard to manage, experts said, because it calls into question, simultaneously, all three load-bearing pillars of cooperation: European unity, the U.S.-led alliance and relations among the United States and other veto-empowered Security Council members, including France and Russia.

"'Before,if confrontation arose in the Security Council,NATO would close ranks, and splits among the European countries never threatened NATO unity, but this time the trans-Atlantic fault line is fissuring all three of the organizations that emerged intact from the Cold War,' according to a cabinet-level British official." Where is this all leading-and why?

The end of NATO?

The Wall Street Journalcame out with a surprising editorial on Feb. 10 titled "The End of NATO." It stated: "France and Germany continued this weekend to gamble with the institutions that have kept something called the Western alliance united for half a century.The question to contemplate now is whether that alliance, formally known as NATO, continues to serve the interests of the United States.

"This may seem a radical thought," the opinion piece continued, "but it is certainly warranted by the astonishing recent behavior of nations thought to be U.S. allies. Three countries-France, Germany and their mini-me minion, Belgium-have moved from opposition to U.S. policy toward Iraq into formal, and consequential, obstructionism. If this is what the U.S. gets from NATO, maybe it's time America considered leaving this Cold War institution and re-forming an alliance of nations that understand the new threats to world order."

Reference was made to Germany's suggestion that Iraq be turned over to UN peacekeepers while allowing Saddam Hussein to remain in authority-ostensibly to keep the United States from invading the country."The real point of this exercise," stated the Journal,"is to prevent the U.S. from enforcing the U.N.'s own resolutions . . . The fact that Germany would even consider offering it suggests an agenda aimed less at defusing war than at actively promoting American defeat."

Worse still, in the Journal'sopinion, was Belgium's announcement "that it would do Paris's bidding and veto Turkey's request for NATO resources to defend itself against Iraq . . . For Belgium to block such a request for self-defense from another NATO ally is to drive a stake into the heart of the alliance." France, Germany and Belgium had argued that they could not yet make such a commitment, as it would have implied approval to U.S. military action before official Security Council sanction.

U.S. Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld said it was "shameful, for me it's truly shameful."And, telling journalists at a defense conference in Munich that America and the other NATO countries would defend Turkey anyway, he stated, "What will be hurt will be NATO, not Turkey."

Belgian Foreign Minister Louis Michel remarked that Mr. Rumsfeld's "attitude of 'teaching the old Europe' is insulting. Mr. Michel praised the Europe of democratic values, humanist Europe,the Europe of the Age of Enlightenment.He accused the Bush administration of trying to impose 'a valet-lord' relationship with Europe" ("Belgium, Germany and France Cause NATO Split," EUObserver.com, Feb. 10). Clearly there are huge differences in perspective.

American outrage

Many members of the U.S. Congress were outraged at what they viewed as a betrayal by key allies.At Congressional hearings,"some lawmakers suggested the survival of the alliance may be at stake-a concern also voiced by (Secretary of State Colin) Powell.He told senators Tuesday (Feb. 11) that NATO and UN alliances could fall apart because of a reluctance to provide military support sought by Turkey" (Associated Press report, Feb. 12).

In a House International Relations Committee meeting the next day, the committee's top Democrat, Rep.Tom Lantos, said that he was "particularly disgusted by the blind intransigence and utter ingratitude" of France, Germany and Belgium. "If it were not for the heroic efforts of America's military, France, Germany and Belgium today would be Soviet socialist republics," Lantos said. "The failure of these three states to honor their commitments is beneath contempt" (ibid.).

Even several days before Belgium's action,"Richard Perle,a former assistant secretary of defense in the Reagan administration and now chairman of the Pentagon's Policy Advisory Board, condemned French and German policy on Iraq in the strongest terms"-particularly the former."France is no longer the ally it once was," he said. "I have long thought that there were forces in France intent on reducing the American role in the world" (United Press International report, Feb. 4).

"Very considerable damage has already been done to the Atlantic community, including NATO, by Germany and France," Perle went on to say. Yet he believes Schroeder is a "discredited chancellor" who is out of step with the rest of Germany. But is he? And what about the rest of Europe?

European majority opinion

There is no question that Europe is facing its own share of division. The president of the European Union-now of Greece, which presently holds the rotating leadership-said Feb. 12,"We are at a critical juncture." Unless the EU nations could resolve their differences regarding the Iraqi situation, he went on, "the European Union will enter a deep crisis." And Iraq surely will not be the end of the differences.

"Czech and Polish officials at the Munich meeting said that their countries saw the United States as a guarantee of their stability and position, even against larger European friends. They complained in identical language of 'arrogance' on the part of French and German policymakers, who upbraided Prague and Warsaw for publicly supporting Washington and challenging the line adopted by France and Germany" ( Tribune).

Indeed, many have accused the United States for acting unilaterally. However, when most of Europe's leaders rallied around President Bush,France and Germany were suddenly the ones out of step.Washington was quick to label them the new unilateralists, obstructing cooperation among the allies through minority opposition that could force the United States to eventually abandon NATO.

But are France and Germany truly in the European minority?

Robert Kagan, author of the new book Of Paradise and Power: America Versus Europe in the New World Order,explained on a Feb. 7 Fox News program that America and Europe "have developed such different views about the legitimacy of the use of force and the kind of international order we would like to see that it's like that book Men Are From Mars, Women Are From Venus.We don't even understand each other sometimes when we talk.We use the same words but come up with different meanings. There really has become a serious ideological divide between the majority of Americans and Europeans."

Asked about the level of rampant anti-Americanism in Europe, Dr. Kagan's response was that "some of it we can't do anything about. It's the price of having more power than everyone else. Europeans have some resentment about their historic dependence on the United States and their resentment that the United States has all the power. "

Yet it's not just French and German leaderswho oppose the United States. Kagan stated that "in France and Germany the governments and the people are together, clearly."In fact, a shocking article from Reuters on Feb. 10 reported that in a poll taken in Germany by the respected Forsa institute, "57 percent agreed with the statement:'The United States is a nation of warmongers.'"While this view is understandably outrageous and incomprehensible to most Americans, it apparently represents what many Germans think.The survey further found that "93 percent believed Bush was ready to go to war in pursuit of his (own) interests, while 80 percent said the United States wanted war to boost its power."

But again, is this really representative of the rest of Europe? What about the opinion in the nations that early on gave their vote of confidence to the United States in the Iraqi situation? Dr. Kagan explained: "In a country like Spain where the prime minister has actually sided with Bush . . . (this) is against his own population, (as) 80 percent of Spaniards disagree with American policy." He went on to say that, "by and large, except for a few courageous souls like Tony Blair, and the Spanish prime minister, and Silvio Berlusconi in Italy, there's pretty much unity in Europe. I live in Europe. But let me tell you, there is very little debate going on about this subject. Most people are just opposed."

The world is changing

The Wall Street Journalconcluded its editorial:"We realize the end of NATO has been trumpeted prematurely before .. . But the Cold War is over, and the main threat to the West now is global terrorism employing nuclear and bioweapons. If NATO cannot adapt to this reality by moving its resources to meet that threat, then as currently constructed it has outlived its usefulness."

These are truly momentous times! We appear to be witnessing the beginning of the dismantling of the present world order. Bible prophecy foretells that in the years ahead a new European superpower will rise to dominate the globe for a short time. It is characterized as strong as iron and yet brittle too (Daniel 2:40-43)-evidently fragmented by the interests of the various nations that make it up.

Prophecy also speaks of a vanquished America and Britain and a series of calamities that will eventually send the human race crashing headlong to the very brink of self-annihilation (Matthew 24:21-22)-only to be rescued at the last moment by the dawning of a new and glorious age.You need to keep reading The Good Newsfor understanding of the times in which we live .

-Tom Robinson

 

 
 
 
After Iraq, What Next? America Faces a Dangerous World

Prophecy Being Fulfilled?
The World Divides Into Three Spheres

Recent events have shown the world dividing into three competing systems, all vying for dominance in a rapidly changing world. Does Bible prophecy indicate which will survive?

by Melvin Rhodes

The lines of delineation between the three competing spheres are there, becoming clearer as the three systems confront each other over Iraq.

Only 18 months have passed since the events of Sept. 11, but since then we have witnessed a seismic shift in geopolitics. The signs were already there before the attacks on New York and Washington, D.C., but it has since become clearer that the world is dividing into three economic and political systems, all competing for universal dominance.

The first system, led by the United States, might be described as a capitalist free-for-all strongly based on individualism, promising unlimited opportunities for the creation of wealth and the acquisition of more material possessions. This force dreams of globalization and the opening up of all markets to enable the world to continue to grow and prosper. Of the three, this force is the youngest. As U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan pointed out when in London recently to receive an honorary knighthood from the queen, this system started in England about 300 years ago.

The second force, resurgent since the fall of the shah of Iran in 1979, is Islamic fundamentalism. While its roots are much older- in fact, its origins can be traced back to Muhammad 14 centuries ago-its most recent incarnation caught the world's attention with the overthrow of the pro-Western shah and the holding of U.S. embassy hostages for 444 days, finally released only when American President Ronald Reagan came into office.

If anyone had any doubts about where Islamic fundamentalism was headed, the events of Sept. 11 should have made it a lot clearer. This religious movement seeks universal domination, believing that the world will not have true peace until everyone on the planet is a Muslim.

Although not all Muslims are extremists, extremism is growing and Muslims share the goal of a world converted to Islam. They are motivated by such passages in the Koran as Sura 8:40, which exhorts Muslims to "make war upon them (non-Muslims) until idolatry (worship of any god other than Allah, which includes Christianity) shall cease and God's religion (Islam) shall reign supreme" (N.J. Dawood translation).

The third force has also been in embryonic form for many decades. It also traces its origins back centuries, further even than Islam-all the way back to the days of the Roman Empire. This force has made great strides in the aftermath of Sept. 11, emerging as a serious contender for global leadership. It is the European Union.

These three competing forces do not have clearly defined demarcation lines. There are, for example, Muslims in the EU and United States. The United Kingdom remains a member of the EU but is arguably in the American camp. One of America's two biggest political parties would be quite comfortable with the EU model while there are those in Europe who would prefer to be more American. In the Islamic world are many peoples who have embraced many of the materialistic values of the United States while remaining followers of Muhammad.

But the lines of delineation between the three competing spheres are there nonetheless, becoming clearer as the three systems confront each other over Iraq.

Divisions in the West

While we see many similarities between the EU and the United States, there are also many differences. As with America, the EU encourages private enterprise-up to a point. The role of the government in each member nation is greater than in the United States, theoretically ensuring a more equitable division of wealth.

One division increasingly apparent is in the area of faith. Americans in general are much more religious than Europeans, with faith influencing U.S. politics in a way that has not been seen in Europe for centuries. One commentator interviewed on BBC radio thought that the strong religious beliefs of both President Bush and British Prime Minister Tony Blair were a factor in their alienation from other Western nations.

Historical experience and perspective are also different on the two sides of the Atlantic. Europeans are surrounded by history, with castles and cathedrals that are sometimes more than 1,000 years old. Awareness of history is generally much more widespread than in the United States.

Americans tend not to look back. Europeans, however, are continually looking back, trying to learn from the past before moving forward. With so many wars in their collective history, the nations of Europe are determined to unite their continent in such a way that never again will there be a repeat of the two devastating world wars of the last century.

Conscious of the past, they are also determined that no other nation will bring about a cataclysm to rival those former conflicts. Thus, opposition to war in general is greater in Europe than in the United States.

Remembering the two world wars of the 20th century, and a Cold War in which the Soviet Union threatened to gobble up Europe, Americans tend to see themselves as the saviors of Europe and cannot understand the seeming ingratitude of today's Europeans.

The perspective in Europe is somewhat different. The French perception, for example, is that America betrayed them twice in the 1950s, in consequence bringing about the collapse of the Fourth Republic in 1958.

Both betrayals were during the Eisenhower administration. The first, in 1954, was the failure of the United States to come through with requested military aid at the battle of Dien Bien Phu, which resulted in a French defeat and the loss of Indochina. The United States, of course, also paid a penalty for this decision, as the Vietnam War was the consequence of French withdrawal.

Two years later, American pressure forced Britain and France to withdraw from Suez after a combined military force had recaptured the Suez Canal, seized by Egypt. This, in turn, led to the French losing Algeria, the home of more than one million French nationals.

The British learned from this that they amounted to little without American support, and thus have been firm supporters of the United States in subsequent decades. The French reached a different conclusion -that they couldn't trust America (it can, of course, be said that Americans have learned the same about France). This attitude is still a complication for U.S. foreign policy, with France wielding veto power on the UN Security Council.

Closer Franco-German ties

Closer to home, the French have also learned the necessity of a close relationship with Germany. German troops arrived in Paris during the Franco-Prussian War of 1870-71 (leading to the fall of the Second French Empire of Napoleon III) and again in 1940. In between these two events,World War I saw massive loss of French lives. After three bloody conflicts in 70 years, they determined it would never happen again.

In a geopolitical context, this means that the relationship between Paris and Berlin is of far greater importance than the relationship each has with Washington or London.

Making the Paris-Berlin axis of greater importance was the reunification of Germany following the fall of the Berlin Wall and the more recent transference of Germany's capital to Berlin. Both events have emboldened Germany to play a much greater role in world affairs, as it has demonstrated in standing up to the United States and Britain in the UN over the Iraq conflict. Ironically, this attitude has been encouraged by Washington, which, perhaps forgetting the lessons of Germany's militaristic past, requested Berlin send troops to the Balkans and Afghanistan.

Always fearful of a resurgent Germany, the French are not about to loosen the ties that bind them to their bigger neighbor. To them, Franco-German ties remain of paramount importance.

They are of importance to Germany as well. Many liberal Germans, mindful of Germany causing two world wars in 25 years, want Germany to be firmly contained within the EU, as do other member nations. As France is the second-biggest nation in the EU after Germany, the French connection is important to Germany. The Germans gain international respectability through this close link.

This is not to say that there aren't differences. The Germans want a federal Europe, modeled on the German system. The French prefer a confederation with power remaining in the hands of national governments. However, what is important to realize is that both are committed to a full European Union, a superpower to stand up to, and ultimately surpass, the United States.

Economically, it already does in some ways. The EU controls more of the world's trade than the United States, giving it greater economic clout around the world. One example of this was the recent European demand that Iran abolish the death penalty before any trade agreement could be signed. European Union economic power is set to become far greater when 10 new members join in May 2004.

Largely unnoticed in the United States, the European currency, only one year old in January, recently surpassed the American dollar in value, a reflection of growing international confidence in Europe at the expense of America. Disparity between the two currencies may well widen further, depending on how things go in the conflict with Iraq.

In foreign policy, the Middle East is the area where these two powers are in great disagreement, as evidenced by major disagreements in the UN and NATO. This is partly the result of divergent economic interests, with the Europeans heavily dependent on oil from the Persian Gulf. On the issue of Israel and the Palestinians, European support of the latter stands in stark contrast to American support for the Israelis.

Rising Islamic power

This brings us back to the other force in this geopolitical triad-Islam. Again, Europeans have a different perspective.

Some Americans are aware that the American Jewish community has been a significant factor in determining the course of U.S. elections. What few realize is that the percentage of Muslims in Western Europe is far greater than the percentage of Jews in America, making Islam a major factor in European politics. Fearful of domestic upheaval, European governments tread carefully in dealing with Islamic nations of the Middle East. If European governments support an attack on Iraq, the consequences at home could be disastrous -in the form of domestic upheaval and possibly even major terrorist attacks.

The announced formation of a pan- European Islamic political party in January can only add to the concerns of European governments. In fact, there are now more Muslims in Europe than there are French nationals! Almost all have arrived in Europe since World War II or are the children of immigrants.

Sept. 11 has only increased European fears of Islam, a repeated historic threat to the continent. Muslim Ottoman Turks twice attacked the city of Vienna in the 16th and 17th centuries, while Muslim Moors reached the gates of Paris in the eighth century.

Biblical importance of the three blocs

The Good News magazine has long focused the attention of readers on these three forces now at the forefront of world affairs. How did we know that these competing powers would come to dominate the world scene?

The answer is found in your Bible.

In Daniel 2:28 we read that "there is a God in heaven who reveals secrets . . ." In verse 21 we note that God "removes kings and raises up kings." In another prophetic book we read that "the Lord GOD does nothing, unless He reveals His secret to His servants the prophets" (Amos 3:7). Almost one third of the Bible is prophetic, and most of that prophecy relates to end-time events that usher in the Kingdom of God.

Throughout history, nations have continually risen and fallen. No power that reaches the top remains there indefinitely. Before World War II the British Empire was the dominant force in the world and had been for two centuries. Before Britain it was France; before France, Spain. Two thousand years ago the Roman Empire was the mightiest force on earth. God truly does remove kings and set up new ones.

Before the second coming of Jesus Christ, the Bible informs us that another powerful force will arise that is not clearly seen at present. Bible prophecy shows it to be a final resurrection of the Roman Empire, which dominated Europe until the fifth century.

While most Americans aren't aware of it, various attempts have been made throughout history to restore Rome's glory. The last failed attempt was under Mussolini, who proclaimed the resurrection of the Roman Empire in 1922. Later, in alliance with Hitler's Germany, the original "axis of evil" attempted to conquer the world. Together, they succeeded in briefly conquering most of Europe.

Europe is again coming together, this time not by force, but voluntarily. The two dominant nations of the new Europe are Germany and France, recently flexing their muscles by hindering U.S. and British efforts to remove Saddam Hussein from power in Iraq. At the same time, they are pushing vigorously for a full political, economic and military union of Europe's ancient continent, a revived Roman Empire set in motion by the 1957 Treaty of Rome.

Setting the stage

Recommended Reading

Where can we turn for understanding in these confusing and dangerous times? How can we learn where world events are leading us? To better understand today's headlines and the trends discussed in this article, be sure to request our free booklets The United States and Britain in Bible Prophecy, You Can Understand Bible Prophecy and The Book of Revelation Unveiled, and our World News and Prophecy newsletter. To understand what God expects of you, read The Ten Commandments and Transforming Your Life: The Process of Conversion, also free.


Contact any of our offices listed on page 2, or request or download them from our Web site at www.churchofgodtwincities.org/lit/lit.htm.

Prophecy shows this end-time alliance of nations coming together for a short time just before Christ's return (Revelation 17:12-14). This new superpower, more powerful than the United States, will threaten the peace of the world.

Pushing at this prophesied Europeancentered bloc will be a nation or group of nations led by a "king of the South" (Daniel 11:40), possibly soon to emerge as the Islamic world increasingly turns against the West and non-Muslims.

Meanwhile, more and more, the United States and Britain will see the world turning against them, as has been evident in events leading up to war with Iraq.

But why? Unknown to most Americans and Britons, they are in fact the modern descendants of the biblical tribe of Joseph, part of the 12-tribed nation of Israel. Because they have progressively turned away from God and thumbed their nose at the true Source of their national blessings and power, they will soon reap the consequences of their sins. God warns that He will "break the pride of (their) power" (Leviticus 26:19) and bring devastating punishments if they continue in their sins and refuse to turn to God's way of life.

The increasing isolation and decline of the English-speaking nations, the rise of a European superpower and the emergence of fundamentalist Islam with increased conflict in the Middle East were prophesied in your Bible centuries ago. The coming together of these powerful forces will set the stage for the second coming of Jesus Christ to establish the Kingdom of God on earth.

Where will you be when these things happen?

GN


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